106% rainfall across India, confirms Met department Rahul Gaikwad
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) confirmed its prediction of an excellent monsoon in its June update released on Thursday .
The update maintains that the country would receive 106% rainfall, with the figure going up to 113% over central India, which includes Maharashtra. The rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 107% of its long period average (LPA) during July and 104% of the LPA in August with a model error of plus or minus 8%.
IMD director general L S Rathore said, “The monsoon will be good over the drought affected areas of Maharashtra and Karnataka. There will not be any inordinate delay in the arrival of the monsoon.“
The experimental forecast based on the Monsoon Mission coupled dynamical model suggests that the rainfall during the June-September monsoon season was likely to be an average of 112% (plus or minus 5%) of the LPA. It forecasts that chances of deficient or below normal rainfall are nil, of normal and above normal rainfall 18% and of excess rainfall 64%.
The forecast should bring much cheer to farmers as around 49% of India’s workforce depends on agriculture and 68% of the population lives in the rural areas.
The monsoon is vital for the country as it kickstarts the sowing season for kharif crops. India receives 80% of its annual rainfall during this period and the crops grown feed more than half of the country’s farmland.
The government agency’s model, coupled with the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology’s (IITM) model, stated that the prevailing weak El Nino conditions and the presence of La Nina during the lat ter part of the season might lead to good rainfall.
“The rapidly declining El Nino conditions became moderate in early April, weak in early May and have now turn ed into neutral El Nino southern oscillation conditions. Recent changes in the atmospheric conditions over the Pacific also reflect the weakening of El Nino,“ the update stated.
Sambad e-Paper 03/06/2016 : http://sambadepaper.com/epapermain.aspx